Weather Tidbits: Analog Forecasting
We dive into the 4th type of forecast known as analog in this Weather Tidbits. An analog forecast is made when finding past situations; with conditions similar to current conditions, and use those events (analogs) to make the forecast. This forecast involves pattern recognition. This method tends to be the most challenging, as no two weather systems are exactly alike. The more extreme an event is, the harder it is to find an analog. It works best when several analogs are used to find a range of possible outcome. It also works well for seasonal forecasting.