Hurricane Matthew: Possible Delmarva Impacts

Hurricane Matthew has officially made landfall in Haiti early this morning with sustained winds of 145 mph and gusts to 175 mph within the eye-wall of the storm. Matthew is still a major category 4 hurricane.

Matthew is expected to travel north through the Bahamas over the next couple of days. A ridge of high pressure in the Atlantic will help curve Matthew towards Florida. Right now, the latest path has the center of the storm staying just off the coast of Florida on Friday. Matthew is then expected to take a turn north and northeast making landfall somewhere along the southeastern U.S.

Where it tracks from there is still very uncertain and that will help determine our weather for the upcoming weekend. Below are the current spaghetti models showing possible paths.

The current forecast from the 47 ABC Storm Team has Matthew moving over the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a category 2 hurricane early Sunday morning and then moving northeast from there off the coast. This path would bring a few things:

1. Beach erosion and dangerous rip currents
2. Moderate to significant flooding and heavy rain
3. Strong gusty winds possibly to 40 mph or higher

The good news is that the storm is expected to remain south and east of Delmarva. The worst part of a hurricane is the northeast quadrant of the storm, so the worst of it should stay out to sea according to the latest forecast. Forecasts also show the possibility of 4-8 inches of rain, and the truth is Delmarva can’t handle much more. Below is a graphic showing possible rain through early Sunday morning.

The biggest concern right now will be the heavy rain and flooding associated with it, but there’s still a chance that winds will become more of a concern, especially if Matthew remains a strong hurricane. Trees falling down are more likely now due to our over-saturated ground.

Friday: Mostly sunny and mild. Highs mid 70s.
Saturday: Increasing clouds with rain after noon. Breezy. Highs low 70s.
Sunday: Rain, heavy at times, and windy. Highs near 70.

We’ll continue to monitor the latest information and bring the most accurate forecast. Everyone from Florida to New York should watch this. As of now, it appears Delmarva will at least have an indirect impact from Matthew with the worst of it missing us. Stay tuned. Any change in the path will bring a change to the forecast.

Categories: Weather Blog, Weather Forecast